Timo Salmi, Jussi Nikkinen &Petri
Sahlström
Department of Accounting and Finance
Faculty of Business Studies
University of Vaasa, Finland
The Review of the Theoretical and Empirical Basis of Financial Ratio
Analysis Revisited
With the Modern Developments in the Web-Based
Publishing
Abstract
This web-based publication is an addendum to a previous review of
the research and research trends in financial ratio analysis. The
first purpose is to add more current references to the previous
review. The second purpose is to emphasize the changes facilitated
by the modern World Wide Web based publication practices and their
impact on the availability of scientific publications. The new
references are listed only without detailed reviewing, since no
drastic additions have come to the fore in the field. However, it is
felt that the additions are sufficient to warrant this addendum
made readily possible by the option of making this publication available
online.
Referencing: Salmi, Timo, Jussi Nikkinen & Petri
Sahlström (2005). The Review of the Theoretical and Empirical
Basis of Financial Ratio Analysis Revisited. University of Vaasa,
Finland. URN:NBN:fi-fe20051937. Available from World Wide Web:
<URL:http://www.uwasa.fi/~ts/wbfa/wbfa.htm>.
Acknowledgements for useful discussions: Prof. Ilkka Virtanen and
Library Managing Director Vuokko Palonen.
Purpose
Salmi and Martikainen (1994) presented a review of the theoretical
and empirical basis of financial ratio analysis. In particular, the
review sought to answer two questions relating to four selected
fields in financial ratio analysis literature: What are the major
research lines in financial statement analysis research? What is the
logical chronology and what are the central results in the primary
four of these fields? The motivation for the review was the fact
that the interested parties need to know the nature and the quality
of the financial information available and how to interpret and
utilize it in their decision making.
The presentation at hand is based on the two developments discussed
below:
Since the review paper there have been two developments in the
field. Over a decade has passed. Naturally, there have been the
further results. Hence, the first purpose of the current publication
is simply to bring the references of Salmi's and Martikainen's
review better up to date in a readily available mode.
There also is an interesting, first emerging and now strongly
growing trend to make scientific results available on the Internet.
The new technology affects the availability and access methods to
scientific journals and web-based publications. The new options for
world-wide publication of material and results will also have
implications on the quality control of the scientific results. The
often overly long and strenuous double-blind referee system will
encounter inevitable pressures for the more options and maybe even
fundamental changes.
Consequently, the second purpose of the current publication is to
observe the transition towards scientific journal web access. It is
done by examining the case of the availability of the additional
financial analysis literature material on the World Wide Web in the
four areas covered by Salmi and Martikainen (1994). The method is
straightforward. The new references are sought by the direct
university personal computer access methods only. The results in
this respect are given by including into most of the references
section when and how the individual reference was obtained. The
particular medium of presenting the current publication is utilized
in displaying this aspect of our research results. The information is
color-coded in the references section to clearly distinguish the
latter research task results from the first research task
posed.
As for financial statement analysis reseach, the generic conclusion
in Salmi and Martikainen (1994: 426) is "It is observed that it is
typical of financial ratio analysis research that there are several
unexpectedly distinct lines with research traditions of their own".
A number of research lines were observed. Four of the areas were
taken under a closer review.
Basic Properties of Ratios
Functional Form of Financial Ratios
Distributional Characteristics of Financial Ratios
Classification of Financial Ratios
Pragmatical Empiricism
Deductive Approach
Inductive Approach
Confirmatory Approach
Measurement of Profitability and Financial Ratios
Salmi and Martikainen (1994) also concluded. "A common feature of
all the areas of financial ratio analysis research seems to be that
while significant regularities can be observed, they are not
necessarily stable across the different ratios, industries, and time
periods." The new reference search results continue to support both
the major conclusions of Salmi and Martikainen.
The reference list of the current publication covers the new
material found by the authors of the publication at hand. The search
for the new, published results concentrates on the areas listed
above since the publication date of Salmi and Martikainen (1994). In
parcticular, the emphasis is on WWW-accessible text, html, or
preferably pdf versions available on the Internet. In many, if not
most of the cases full access privileges to the journals in question
are needed to obtain the referenced publications.
The access privileges, obviously, will differ from user to user, and
may even depend on the user's physical location with regard to
his/her library. Also, the access privileges to a journal may vary
from year to year, based e.g. on the subscription status. In the
current publication the norm, naturally, has been the Internet
access to the journals via the local library services at the
University of Vaasa, Finland.
Publishing Transitions
The publication of the review paper by Salmi & Martikainen
(1994) very roughly coincided with the timing of the introduction of
refereed papers made available more commonly also through the World
Wide Web services. The net-availability status of the
material is thus of interest.
It is evident that publishing has been and continues to be to a
degree in a state of transition. While the paper publishing has
continued in its traditional format, the electronic availability has
become an option provided by publishers, albeit sometimes a
cumbersome one.
It is to be expected that the changes may become more fundamental. One
of the emerging trends, even if partly tentative still (in 2005 at
writing this), are journals published in the electronic format only. One
such example is the B>Quest WWW Journal of
Applied Topics in Business and Economics.
A related, emerging trend is prepublication of submitted or
forthcoming papers even before they officially come out in the paper
journals. Or even papers that may not get published through the
traditional channels. For example, Social Science Research Network
(SSRN) provides such a service on the net.
A parallel trend that might be expected is that authors will more or
less do their own publishing. The technical means are more and more
readily available. The media of the World Wide Web is very well
suited for this development. The publication at hand, under the
auspices of the authors' university, serves as an example of this
potential trend.
All the future trends are impossible to predict. However, one of the
many consequences of the self-assessed publishing could be a need
for a kind of a third-party certification for the web-based
publications which appear as the author's own Internet publishing
only.
It is self-evident that personal computers have become a major
factor in doing research and in writing research papers. This will
lead to a gradual shift in researchers' working habits. The trend is
towards being more "desktop bound". (Although in an unrelated field,
a prime example is astronomy, where observations are more and more
done at the computer, not the actual observatories.) This trend will
inevitably lead to the question of a risk of a potential references
bias. Will references increasingly be made in an unbalanced fashion
to papers that are more readily available at one's desk on the
personal computer? In terms of scientific rigor, such a situation is
not entirely healthy, but can it be avoided in actual research
writing practice? The gradual realization of this eventuality will
in time put increasing pressures on the journal publishers.
The crucial question, of course will be, the scientific status and
credibility of the publications appearing on the Word Wide Web.
Especially, if not published in any other format. In the end only
the citation situation and the peer acceptance will tell. The
familiar principles of scientific validation should apply as in the
traditional publishing. The quality control will be a big issue if
and when the new options of distribution proliferate.
Appendix: Dimensions of the Modern Reference Search
The potential of the new distribution technologies brings in a
number of issues. The outline below attempts to list the central
issues brought along by this development.
Searches:
Traditional
Keyword orientation fairly typical in older databases
Web-based
Search engine orientation
Better coverage of the contents text
Focusing difficulties
Unstandardized, sometimes outright illogical interfacing
Access limitations
Search result and fulltext-access mismatches common
Availability and typical features:
Traditional, paper-based
Libraries
Personal subscriptions
Long publishing delays: the heavy referee system and typical revision rounds
Over-conformance problems claimed: Low acceptance rates,
especially of potentially innovative new directions
Problems with drawings and mathematical presentation
At best if (and only if?) originally planned for the format
References, with Select Comments on
Availability and Format
"Linkrot" is inevitable, especially given that the publishers tend to
make changes in their electronic arrangements. Nevertheless, even the
potential, superficially dead links will give the reader an indication
of the direction to take. The temporal volatility of the availability of
full texts and the variance in the access paths and formats is of
note.
Functional Form of Financial Ratios
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Available for
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(1996). The proportionality of financial ratios: Implications for
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Distributional Characteristics of Financial Ratios
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earnings, permanent cash flow and the distribution of the earnings to
price ratio. The
British Accounting Review 30:2, 105-140. Paper copy obtained before the current
project. Abstract only at ABI Inform ProQuest. [Cited 19-Nov-2005].
ScienceDirect fulltext would be available for authorized users in the
PDF format.
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firms: A comparison of distributional characteristics. Global
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distribution.
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Characteristics of Financial Ratios: An Acquisition Theory
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Kallunki, Juha-Pekka (1998). The impact of transformations on the
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financial ratio distribution.
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Implications for ratio classification. European
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Properties and Transformation of Financial Ratios: The Impact of
Accounting Environment. Advances
in International Accounting 17, 85-101. The search initiated from the first author's home page. [Cited
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authors, since the paper is by two of them.
Peel, David A., Michael J. Peel & Ioannis A. Venetis. Further
Empirical Analysis of The Time Series Properties of Financial Ratios
based on a Panel Data Approach. Publication status unknown. Source: A Google
search-engine link. Probably still unpublished, but available on the
Internet.
Peel, David A, & Michael J Peel, Joannis A Venetis (2004).
Further empirical analysis of the time series properties of
financial ratios based on a panel data approach. Applied
Financial Economics 14:3, 155-. Abstract at ABI Inform ProQuest [Cited 12-Nov-2004].
Only the abstract was downloadable.
So, Jacky C. (1994). The distribution of financial ratios - A note.
Journal
of Accounting, Auditing & Finance, 9:2, 215-223. ABI Inform: ProQuest Direct.
Database search keywords used: financial ratio distribution. A note:
No fulltext rights for this issue at the University of Vaasa. Hence
a paper copy received 21-Nov-2002.
Trigueiros, Duarte (1995). Accounting identities and the
distribution of ratios. The
British Accounting Review 27:2, 109-126. Available for authorized users in the PDF
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proportionality.
Classification of Financial Ratios
Devine, Kevin & Lloyd Seaton (1995). An examination of quarterly
financial ratio stability: Implications for financial decision
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factor analysis Pinches.
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Martikainen, Teppo, Jukka Perttunen, Seppo Pynnönen & Paavo
Yli-Olli (1997). A confirmatory test on the stability of financial ratio
patterns. Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and
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Matsumoto, Keishiro, Melkote Shivaswamy & James P. Hoban, Jr. (1995). Security
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information.
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"financial ratio analysis" "factor analysis". Inconsistent author
information at ABI.
The relative number of
the hospital administration related papers in this area of financial
analysis research is interesting to note.
Measurement of (IRR) Profitability and Financial
Ratios
Baber, William R. & Sok-Hyon Kang (1996). Estimates of economic
rates of return for the U.S. pharmaceutical industry, 1976-1987.
Journal
of Accounting and Public Policy 15:4, 327-356. Available for authorized
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CRR.
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Revisited: Evidence of their Usefulness in Estimating Economic Returns.
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for the economic rate of return: An empirical investigation. Journal of Applied
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Feenstra, Dick W., Carel A. Huijgen & Hua Wang (2000). An
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Quoted Firms. SOM-theme E Financial markets and institutions
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simulation-based investigation of errors in accounting-based
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simulation analysis of the trendy, owner-oriented management
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Web-based (and other) Publishing and Usage
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Accounting journals related to international topics: print and
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Background and Miscellaneous
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impact of accounting research on finance. Critical
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No fulltext rights at the University of Vaasa.
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properties of financial ratios. Accounting and Business
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A small sample of papers referred to in Salmi and Martikainen (1994)
which have have since become available electronically. Some
publishers have increasingly started to make available for the
subscribers also the older back-issues of their
journals.
Courtis, John K. (1978). Modelling a financial ratios categoric
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Industry effects and the proportionality assumption in ratio
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McLeay, Stuart & Susan Fieldsend
(1987). Sector and size effects in ratio analysis: an indirect test
of ratio proportionality. Accounting and Business
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Inconsistent author information.
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Non-Normal Distribution of Financial Ratios. Journal
of Business Finance & Accounting 14:4, 483-496. Available for authorized
users in the PDF format from Internet: EBSCOhost at FinELib [Cited
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used: financial ratio distribution.
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stability and cross-country invariance of financial ratio patterns.
European
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ScienceDirect, journal's backissues. Search initiated at the second author's home page.
ScienceDirect fulltext would be available for authorized users in
the PDF format.
Relevant Papers Found after the Original
Publication Date (24-Nov-2005)
Bhattacharya, Hrishikes (2007). Advent, Development and Use of
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